This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
<0.75%
$2.3K Volume
2%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1.5K Volume
1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1.6K Volume
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$25.3K Volume
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2.4K Volume
1%
3.75% to 4.49%
$29.9K Volume
8%
4.50%+
$19.4K Volume
90%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for India Annual Inflation 2026?
The current front-runner is 4.50%+ at 90%, ahead of 3.75% to 4.49% at 7%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for India Annual Inflation 2026?
Traders currently imply a 90% chance for 4.50%+. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the India Annual Inflation 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 12 Jan 2027 (140 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on India Annual Inflation 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $82.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade India Annual Inflation 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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