This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Traders are split - 54% for Yes versus 47% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Traders give Yes a 54% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $15.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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