Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
0
$6.4K Volume
1%
1
$14.7K Volume
12%
2
$24.4K Volume
80%
3
$17.5K Volume
11%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
The current front-runner is 2 at 80%, ahead of 1 at 11%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
Traders currently imply a 80% chance for 2. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
Total traded volume on this market is $63K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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