Up or Down · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

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$170.5K Volume
05/08/2026 04:00
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Resolution Source: data.chain.link

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET?
It's a genuine race: Down edges the field at 51%, barely ahead of Up at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET?
Traders give Down a 51% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 5 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET?
Traders have put $170.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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