Ethereum · Up or Down

Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?

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$94.8K Volume

04/08/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?

It's a genuine race: Down edges the field at 61%, barely ahead of Up at 40%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?

Traders give Down a 61% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.

When does the Ethereum Up or Down on August 4 market resolve?

The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?

$94.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Ethereum Up or Down on August 4 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.