A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins
Lula
$4K Volume
55%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3.7K Volume
47%
Hertz Dias
$342 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$406 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$438 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$527 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$558 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$542 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$575 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$1.2K Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$601 Volume
1%
Samara
$432 Volume
1%
Zema
$448 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins?
The current front-runner is Lula at 54%, ahead of Candidate A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins?
Traders currently imply a 54% chance for Lula. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins?
Total traded volume on this market is $13.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro89%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva7%YesNo
Eduardo Paes95%YesNo
Douglas Ruas5%YesNo
Benedita da Silva66%YesNo
Carlos Jordy29%YesNo
Fufuca28%YesNo
Weverton Rocha28%YesNo
Professora Dorinha61%YesNo
Vicentinho Júnior39%YesNo
Alexandre Guimarães47%YesNo
Gaguim33%YesNo
Guilherme Derrite52%YesNo
Simone Tebet23%YesNo
