A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo
Flavio Bolsonaro
$7.1K Volume
88%
Lula
$299 Volume
8%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$905 Volume
5%
Clariana Barao
$278 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$271 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$671 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$738 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$641 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$443 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$445 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$307 Volume
1%
Samara
$727 Volume
1%
Zema
$710 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo?
Flavio Bolsonaro dominates the field at 87%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo?
With 87% implied for Flavio Bolsonaro, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (43 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo?
$13.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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