A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Lula
$4.7K Volume
99%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$385 Volume
2%
Clariana Barao
$358 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$363 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$359 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$355 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$283 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$339 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$359 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$271 Volume
1%
Samara
$351 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$351 Volume
1%
Zema
$231 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia?
The current front-runner is Lula at 97%, ahead of Candidate A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia?
Traders currently imply a 97% chance for Lula. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia?
Total traded volume on this market is $8.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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