The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
No change
$24K Volume
77%
25 bps increase
$14.3K Volume
22%
50+ bps increase
$3K Volume
5%
50+ bps decrease
$2.6K Volume
1%
25 bps decrease
$2.8K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bank of Japan Decision in October?
The current front-runner is No change at 77%, ahead of 25 bps increase at 21%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Traders currently imply a 77% chance for No change. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Bank of Japan Decision in October market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Oct 2026 (67 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Bank of Japan Decision in October on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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