This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
August 31
$22.3K Volume
11%
September 30
$9.1K Volume
36%
Resolved 2
June 30
$8.1K Volume
No
July 31
$11.8K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Another critical Cloudflare incident by?
The field is wide open: September 30 tops it at just 35%, with August 31 close behind at 10%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Another critical Cloudflare incident by?
No strong consensus yet: September 30 tops the implied probabilities at just 35%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Another critical Cloudflare incident by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Another critical Cloudflare incident by?
Traders have put $2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Another critical Cloudflare incident by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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