This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
≤3.8%
$519 Volume
1%
3.9%
$732 Volume
6%
4.0%
$2.1K Volume
15%
4.1%
$6.2K Volume
32%
4.2%
$4K Volume
34%
4.3%
$3.2K Volume
18%
4.4%
$657 Volume
3%
4.5%
$468 Volume
15%
≥4.6%
$499 Volume
6%
Resolution Source: www.bls.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for August Unemployment Rate?
Even the leader is cheap - 4.2% trades at 32%, 4.1% at 31%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for August Unemployment Rate?
Right now the market's best guess is 4.2% at 32% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the August Unemployment Rate market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Sep 2026 (12 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on August Unemployment Rate?
Total turnover stands at $1.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade August Unemployment Rate on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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