Canada · Macro Indicators

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

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$9.4K Volume

15/02/2027 00:00

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.

Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

The market prices Yes at only 8%, with No at 92%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.

What do traders predict for Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 8%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.

When does the Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 15 Feb 2027 (176 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Total turnover stands at $9.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.