This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Roman Safiullin.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
ATP
Carlos Alcaraz
0-0
–
vs
31/08 17:00
–
Roman Safiullin
0-0
Game context
Carlos Alcaraz returns from a four-month wrist injury layoff for his US Open title defense against Roman Safiullin on outdoor hard courts, creating the primary uncertainty in this first-round matchup. The Spaniard, ranked No. 2 or 3, has not played competitive singles since April and enters with questions about early rust despite his proven Grand Slam pedigree and perfect first-round record. Safiullin, ranked around No. 98-99 after climbing from lower positions, brings a balanced head-to-head (1-1), including a straight-sets win on indoor hard in Paris 2023, plus recent Wimbledon fourth-round form and a powerful serve that could test baseline movement. Traders price Alcaraz as a heavy favorite reflecting his talent edge in best-of-five, yet the layoff and Safiullin’s experience on hard courts support potential for sets or extended play before Alcaraz settles.
Moneyline
$86.7K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Total
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Total
$171 Vol.US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 4.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 Winner
Total Games
$44 Vol.US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 40.5
1st Set Winner
$320 Vol.Set Handicap
$3.9K Vol.US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5
More Bets
$24.4K Vol.US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5
Roman Safiullin 3-0
Roman Safiullin 3-1
Roman Safiullin 3-2
Carlos Alcaraz 3-0
Carlos Alcaraz 3-1
Carlos Alcaraz 3-2
Not Completed
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz?
The current front-runner is US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 66%, ahead of US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 65%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz?
Traders currently imply a 66% chance for US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 6 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz?
Total traded volume on this market is $13.7M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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