This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on August 31, 2026.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the third highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data.
Past
Databricks
$4.6K Volume
91%
Stripe
$1.1K Volume
16%
Anduril
$2.1K Volume
4%
Lambda
$1.3K Volume
3%
Anthropic
$732 Volume
1%
Canva
$701 Volume
1%
Epic Games
$642 Volume
1%
Kraken
$753 Volume
1%
Neuralink
$772 Volume
1%
OpenAI
$769 Volume
1%
Perplexity
$444 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for 3rd largest private company end of August?
The current front-runner is Databricks at 86%, ahead of Stripe at 9%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for 3rd largest private company end of August?
Traders currently imply a 86% chance for Databricks. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the 3rd largest private company end of August market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on 3rd largest private company end of August?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade 3rd largest private company end of August on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
October 3189%YesNo
September 3079%YesNo
December 31, 202670%YesNo
November 30, 202662%YesNo
↑$1.0T68%YesNo
↑$1.25T47%YesNo
$1.25T–$1.5T23%YesNo
$1.75T–$2.0T19%YesNo
1.5T+48%YesNo
1T–1.25T17%YesNo
OpenAI + Anthropic33%
Google67%





