Crypto Prediction Markets

Crypto markets on Polymarket cover the majors (BTC, ETH, SOL), technical upgrades, ETF approvals, regulation moves and halvings. Prices come from live trading on Polygon.

Prediction-market advantage: instead of guessing, you get a precise probability - e.g. "65% chance of Ethereum ETF approval by year-end". A solid input for longer-term investment decisions.

830 active markets
XRP above ___ on November 5?XRP above ___ on November 5?
1.1099%YesNo
0.8099%YesNo
$4.6K Volume 3 days left
Will Veda launch a token by ___?Will Veda launch a token by ___?
September 30, 202770%YesNo
December 31, 202762%YesNo
$12.6K Volume 01/01
GMGN FDV above ___ one day after launch?GMGN FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M55%YesNo
$700M48%YesNo
$48K Volume 01/01
Will Flop launch a token by ___?Will Flop launch a token by ___?
September 30, 202779%YesNo
June 30, 202774%YesNo
$20.2K Volume 01/01
When will Solana hit $150?When will Solana hit $150?
by December 31, 202744%YesNo
by September 30, 202736%YesNo
$30.3K Volume 01/01
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3PM ETEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 3PM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$139.6K Volume Ends today
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202711%
$4.3K Volume 01/01
Will LI.FI launch a token by ___?Will LI.FI launch a token by ___?
December 31, 202726%YesNo
September 30, 202711%YesNo
$82.5K Volume 01/01
What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?
↓ 0.0653%YesNo
↑ 0.167%YesNo
$333 Volume 01/01
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
78%
chance
Yes No
$214.9K Volume 01/01
Will Slingshot launch a token by ___?Will Slingshot launch a token by ___?
September 30, 202771%YesNo
June 30, 202766%YesNo
$24.7K Volume 01/01
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
2%
chance
Yes No
$24.6K Volume 01/01
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11AM ETEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 11AM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$139.6K Volume Ends today
XRP above ___ on November 8?XRP above ___ on November 8?
0.8099%YesNo
0.9099%YesNo
$4.6K Volume 6 days left
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
5038%YesNo
2012%YesNo
$25.8K Volume 01/01
City Protocol FDV above ___ one day after launch?City Protocol FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$20M58%YesNo
$50M44%YesNo
$24.5K Volume 01/01
Will Monster launch a token by ___?Will Monster launch a token by ___?
December 31, 202768%YesNo
June 30, 202724%YesNo
$3.4K Volume 01/01
Solana above ___ on November 7?Solana above ___ on November 7?
8097%YesNo
7597%YesNo
$5.3K Volume 5 days left
Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch?Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M42%YesNo
$200M37%YesNo
$37K Volume 01/01
BNB Up or Down - November 3, 9AM ETBNB Up or Down - November 3, 9AM ET
Up35%
Down65%
$3.9K Volume Ends today
When will Ethereum hit $4k?When will Ethereum hit $4k?
by December 31, 202740%YesNo
by September 30, 202725%YesNo
$64.7K Volume 01/01
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↑ 0.3027%YesNo
↑ 0.4021%YesNo
$306.4K Volume 01/01
Jumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?Jumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
Bybit73%YesNo
OKX63%YesNo
$25.2K Volume 01/02
Solana above ___ on November 9?Solana above ___ on November 9?
7598%YesNo
8097%YesNo
$5.3K Volume 7 days left
Canza FDV above ___ one day after launch?Canza FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M43%YesNo
$150M41%YesNo
$8.5K Volume 01/01
Slingshot FDV above ___ one day after launch?Slingshot FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$8M 57%YesNo
$20M33%YesNo
$17.4K Volume 01/01
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSolana Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Up61%
Down39%
$2K Volume Ends today
What price will Aster hit in 2026?What price will Aster hit in 2026?
↓ 0.4011%YesNo
↑ 1.608%YesNo
$86.2K Volume 01/01
Saturn FDV above ___ one day after launch?Saturn FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M88%YesNo
$100M54%YesNo
$33.4K Volume 01/01
BNB Up or Down - November 3, 2PM ETBNB Up or Down - November 3, 2PM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$3.9K Volume Ends today
Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 202747%YesNo
June 30, 202738%YesNo
$331.8K Volume 01/01
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Up44%
Down56%
$604 Volume Ends today
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4PM ETBitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4PM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$668.1K Volume Ends today
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
$6040%
$14060%
$112.2K Volume 01/01
Will Perena launch a token by ___?Will Perena launch a token by ___?
December 31, 202757%YesNo
June 30, 202748%YesNo
$222.1K Volume 01/01
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10AM ETEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 10AM ET
Up49%
Down51%
$139.6K Volume Ends today
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
$1,00037%
$3,00063%
$120.5K Volume 01/01
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 202723%YesNo
December 31, 20264%YesNo
$924.7K Volume 01/01
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2%
chance
Yes No
$1.1M Volume 01/01
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 6817%YesNo
Above 6216%YesNo
$140.4K Volume 02/01
Ethereum all time high by ___?Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 20262%YesNo
March 31, 20261%YesNo
$2.7M Volume 01/01
Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744?Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744?
Down 3-7%31%YesNo
Down 0-3%23%YesNo
$10 Volume 16/11
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?
June 30, 202789%YesNo
March 31, 202755%YesNo
$13.5K Volume 01/07
What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$1M10%YesNo
$3M5%YesNo
$42.4K Volume 01/01
Will StripChain launch a token by ___?Will StripChain launch a token by ___?
December 31, 202769%YesNo
June 30, 202751%YesNo
$29.6K Volume 01/01
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
Ethereum46%YesNo
Base45%YesNo
$4.5K Volume 01/01
What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
10 Gwei36%YesNo
5 Gwei27%YesNo
$19.6K Volume 01/01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11AM ETBitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11AM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$668.1K Volume Ends today
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Crypto Markets FAQ

Which coins does Polymarket cover?

Primarily BTC, ETH, SOL - plus niche coins during news (DOGE, XRP, AI tokens). Each market needs minimum volume to activate.

How do I read YES/NO prices?

YES at 65¢ = market prices a 65% probability of the outcome. If true, the contract pays $1 - a 35¢ profit per share. Otherwise, 0.

Can I hedge real crypto positions?

Yes. Many trade prediction markets as hedges on real crypto holdings - e.g. buying NO on "BTC ≥ $100K" to protect a large BTC portfolio.

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