This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?
Yes is priced at 30% and No at 70%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?
Traders currently imply a 30% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (122 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How can I trade Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
