Trump · pardon

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

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$1 Volume

01/11/2026 03:59

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August 31

$2.5K Volume

40%

September 30

$554 Volume

64%

October 31

$651 Volume

76%

Resolved 1

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31

$8.1K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Trump pardon anyone by?

The current front-runner is October 31 at 73%, ahead of September 30 at 49%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Will Trump pardon anyone by?

Traders currently imply a 73% chance for October 31. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Trump pardon anyone by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Nov 2026 (68 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Trump pardon anyone by?

Total traded volume on this market is $1, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Trump pardon anyone by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.