Lid · Trump

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5)

$4.7K Volume
05/09/2026 23:59
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August 31
$597 Volume
91%
September 1
$831 Volume
87%
September 2
$571 Volume
78%
September 3
$876 Volume
66%
September 4
$327 Volume
48%
September 5
$506 Volume
82%

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5)?
The current front-runner is August 31 at 86%, ahead of September 1 at 83%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5)?
Traders currently imply a 86% chance for August 31. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5) market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 5 Sep 2026 (8 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5)?
Total traded volume on this market is $4.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5) on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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