This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran between June 18 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of June 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Yes
$1M Volume
1%
Analysis & News
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Odds & FAQ
When does the Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? (Resolved)?
$282.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
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