This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Yes
$109K Volume
1%
Analysis & News
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Odds & FAQ
When does the Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $2.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
Similar Markets
Starmer - UK PM98%YesNo
Putin - Russia President1%YesNo
Mojtaba Khamenei83%YesNo
Reza Pahlavi5%YesNo
July 3161%YesNo
July 1722%YesNo
December 3142%YesNo
August 3133%YesNo
August 1522%YesNo
July 3114%YesNo
December 3138%YesNo
September 3019%YesNo





