This market will resolve to โYesโ if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to โNoโ.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Trump
Politics
Yes Probability
32%
No Probability
68%
Trading Volume
$13.8K
Time Remaining
253 days left
Kash Patel
$218.7K Volume
80%
Tulsi Gabbard
$56.1K Volume
64%
Howard Lutnick
$61.9K Volume
60%
Dan Scavino
$33 Volume
7%
Kristi Noem
$87.6K Volume
60%
John Ratcliffe
$12 Volume
6%
Pete Hegseth
$68.4K Volume
43%
Lee Zeldin
$26.7K Volume
36%
Russell Vought
$137 Volume
9%
Karoline Leavitt
$17.1K Volume
39%
Tom Homan
$58 Volume
11%
David Sacks
$7.3K Volume
31%
Susie Wiles
$42.6K Volume
30%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$64.6K Volume
27%
Scott Bessent
$1K Volume
18%
Marco Rubio
$3.8K Volume
17%
Stephen Miller
$951 Volume
16%
3 Options resolved