This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Trump
· Politics
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Kash Patel
$279K Volume
53%
Kristi Noem
$92.9K Volume
48%
Howard Lutnick
$82.3K Volume
41%
David Sacks
$7.8K Volume
37%
Karoline Leavitt
$36.2K Volume
34%
Susie Wiles
$49.3K Volume
31%
Dan Scavino
$65 Volume
31%
Pete Hegseth
$82.1K Volume
30%
Lee Zeldin
$29K Volume
30%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$69.9K Volume
26%
Stephen Miller
$1.3K Volume
23%
Tom Homan
$128 Volume
16%
Scott Bessent
$1.6K Volume
15%
John Ratcliffe
$210 Volume
13%
Marco Rubio
$10.1K Volume
11%
Russell Vought
$150 Volume
10%
Resolved 4
Pam Bondi
$365.3K Volume
Yes
Tulsi Gabbard
$100.6K Volume
Yes
Dan Bongino
$5.1K Volume
Yes
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$7.1K Volume
Yes
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