This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Past
David Sacks
$8.7K Volume
43%
Howard Lutnick
$91.8K Volume
35%
Kash Patel
$297.1K Volume
38%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$85.5K Volume
36%
Kristi Noem
$95.9K Volume
36%
Karoline Leavitt
$40.8K Volume
25%
Pete Hegseth
$107.3K Volume
21%
Susie Wiles
$53.9K Volume
23%
Lee Zeldin
$30.5K Volume
24%
Tom Homan
$172 Volume
43%
Scott Bessent
$2.7K Volume
12%
Marco Rubio
$14.1K Volume
10%
Russell Vought
$274 Volume
51%
Stephen Miller
$2.1K Volume
13%
John Ratcliffe
$554 Volume
33%
Markwayne Mullin
$401 Volume
20%
Dan Scavino
$137 Volume
30%
Resolved 4
Tulsi Gabbard
$100.6K Volume
Yes
Pam Bondi
$365.3K Volume
Yes
Dan Bongino
$5.1K Volume
Yes
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$7.1K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Even the leader is cheap - David Sacks trades at 38%, Kash Patel at 36%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: David Sacks tops the implied probabilities at just 38%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (161 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Traders have put $2.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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