Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Mac Gargan
$5 Volume
20%
Peter Parker (Tom Holland)
$525 Volume
1%
Michelle "MJ" Jones
$604 Volume
1%
Ned Leeds
$500 Volume
1%
Frank Castle
$1K Volume
1%
Bruce Banner
$500 Volume
1%
Lonnie Lincoln
74%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?
Even the leader is cheap - Lonnie Lincoln trades at 37%, Mac Gargan at 10%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?
Right now the market's best guess is Lonnie Lincoln at 37% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
How much money is trading on Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?
Traders have put $3.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
>280m85%YesNo
260-280m8%YesNo
Spider-Man: Brand New Day83%YesNo
Avengers: Doomsday11%YesNo
March 31, 202711%YesNo
December 31, 20265%YesNo
Avengers: Doomsday58%YesNo
Spider-Man: Brand New Day40%YesNo
<280m17%YesNo
350m+17%YesNo
800 - 900m43%YesNo
900m+21%YesNo




