This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$2.2K Volume
67%
Avengers: Doomsday
$10 Volume
22%
Toy Story 5
$10 Volume
10%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$81 Volume
5%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$10 Volume
57%
Dune: Messiah
$10 Volume
8%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
It's a genuine race: Spider-Man: Brand New Day edges the field at 54%, barely ahead of Movie B at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
At 54% implied for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (161 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $8.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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