This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
June 30
$404.1K Volume
1%
July 3
$41.8K Volume
8%
July 6
$20.7K Volume
14%
July 8
$14.4K Volume
31%
July 10
$47.1K Volume
50%
July 13
$21.6K Volume
56%
July 15
$17.5K Volume
62%
July 17
$26.4K Volume
73%
July 24
$31.7K Volume
86%
July 31
$413.1K Volume
90%
Resolved 8
May 15
$13.2K Volume
No
May 22
$24.7K Volume
No
May 31
$85.5K Volume
No
June 5
$81.3K Volume
No
June 8
$143.2K Volume
No
June 15
$277.6K Volume
No
June 23
$44.6K Volume
No
June 26
$96.4K Volume
No
Similar Markets
December 3198%YesNo
August 3194%YesNo
July 3188%YesNo
July 1771%YesNo
No IPO by June 30, 202699%YesNo
<100B1%YesNo
↓$1.5T2%YesNo
↓$1.4T2%YesNo






