Movies · Culture

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$7.7K Volume
25/08/2026 23:59
View on Polymarket
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket
Don’t Say Good Luck
$18.1K Volume
98%
Extinction
$331 Volume
1%
Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing
$175 Volume
1%
The Last House
$829 Volume
1%
Arthur the King
$429 Volume
1%
To Catch a Cheater
$1.4K Volume
1%
Movie A
50%
Movie B
50%
Movie C
50%
Other
50%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution Source: top10.netflix.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Don’t Say Good Luck dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Movie A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
With 97% implied for Don’t Say Good Luck, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the What will be the top US Netflix movie this week market resolve?
The market runs until 25 Aug 2026 (3 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Traders have put $7.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade What will be the top US Netflix movie this week on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

Similar Markets

Jack LowdenJack Lowden23%YesNo
No Bond chosen22%YesNo
800 - 900m68%YesNo
900m+32%YesNo
38-41m90%YesNo
35-38m6%YesNo
<900m68%YesNo
900 - 920m32%YesNo
18.5-20m85%YesNo
20-21.5m16%YesNo
550 - 570m87%YesNo
570m+13%YesNo
3+ minutes99%YesNo
5+ minutes99%YesNo
<25m52%YesNo
25-28m47%YesNo
Trade on Polymarket
Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more