This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
35-38m
$28.2K Volume
9%
38-41m
$44K Volume
92%
41-44m
$22.1K Volume
5%
<35m
$28.5K Volume
1%
44m+
$7.1K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.the-numbers.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office?
At 89%, 38-41m has pulled far clear of 35-38m (6%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office?
With 89% implied for 38-41m, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office market resolve?
Mark 23 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office?
Total turnover stands at $131.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
No Bond chosen22%YesNo
800 - 900m68%YesNo
900m+32%YesNo
<900m68%YesNo
900 - 920m32%YesNo
18.5-20m85%YesNo
20-21.5m16%YesNo
550 - 570m87%YesNo
570m+13%YesNo
3+ minutes99%YesNo
5+ minutes99%YesNo
<25m52%YesNo
25-28m47%YesNo






