This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Yes is priced at 8% and No at 93%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Traders currently imply a 8% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Total traded volume on this market is $17K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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