This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump on $250 bill this year?
Yes is priced at 3% and No at 97%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Trump on $250 bill this year?
Traders currently imply a 3% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Trump on $250 bill this year market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Trump on $250 bill this year?
Total traded volume on this market is $28.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Trump on $250 bill this year on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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