This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump on $250 bill this year?
Yes is the outsider here at 4%, while No trades at 96%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Trump on $250 bill this year?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 4%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Trump on $250 bill this year market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Trump on $250 bill this year?
Traders have put $23K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Trump on $250 bill this year on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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