This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 5%, while No trades at 96%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 5%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (162 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $517K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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