This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
$5M
$3.2K Volume
96%
$20M
$292 Volume
73%
$40M
$38K Volume
52%
$80M
$18.1K Volume
39%
$100M
$18.2K Volume
28%
$150M
$20.8K Volume
13%
$200M
$18.2K Volume
8%
$300M
$21.1K Volume
8%
$400M
$6.3K Volume
3%
$500M
$5.9K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?
The current front-runner is $5M at 94%, ahead of $20M at 69%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Traders currently imply a 94% chance for $5M. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2028 (488 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Total traded volume on this market is $150K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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