Starmer · UK · keir

Starmer out by...?

$31M Volume

31/12/2025 12:00

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

June 15

$279.3K Volume

June 30

$5.3M Volume

12%

July 31

$94.1K Volume

35%

December 31

$2.9M Volume

73%

Resolved 7

December 31, 2025

$1.3M Volume

May 19

$1.4M Volume

May 31

$2.1M Volume

February 28

$5.9M Volume

March 31

$878.5K Volume

April 30

$5M Volume

May 15

$5.7M Volume

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

AI Analysis

The prediction market on whether Keir Starmer will cease to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by the end of 2025 currently shows a 50.0% probability, reflecting a balanced outlook among traders. With a trading volume of $13.0 million, this market highlights significant interest in Starmer's political stability amid ongoing discussions about his leadership and party dynamics. The outcome of this market is crucial, as it could signal potential shifts in UK governance and influence future political strategies leading up to the next general election.