This market will resolve to โYesโ if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to โNoโ.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Starmer out by...?
Starmer
uk
keir
Grooming Gangs
Politics
Yes Probability
50%
No Probability
50%
Trading Volume
$14M
Time Remaining
Resolved
December 31
$1.1M Volume
67%
June 30
$1.7M Volume
45%
May 15
$148.3K Volume
27%
April 30
$2.9M Volume
6%
3 Options resolved
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market on whether Keir Starmer will cease to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by the end of 2025 currently shows a 50.0% probability, reflecting a balanced outlook among traders. With a trading volume of $13.0 million, this market highlights significant interest in Starmer's political stability amid ongoing discussions about his leadership and party dynamics. The outcome of this market is crucial, as it could signal potential shifts in UK governance and influence future political strategies leading up to the next general election.