Economy · Global Rates

Bank of England decision in July?

$11.1K Volume
30/07/2026 00:00
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No change
$14.3K Volume
98%
25 bps increase
$6.7K Volume
3%
25 bps decrease
$2.5K Volume
1%
50+ bps decrease
$3.8K Volume
1%
50+ bps increase
$2.7K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for July 30, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.

If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.

If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bank of England decision in July?
At 97%, No change has pulled far clear of 25 bps increase (2%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Bank of England decision in July?
With 97% implied for No change, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Bank of England decision in July market resolve?
Mark 30 Jul 2026 (22 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bank of England decision in July?
Traders have put $11.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bank of England decision in July on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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