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SPX · Up or Down

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 31?

$1.8K Volume
31/08/2026 20:00
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 31 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 31 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Resolution Source: www.wsj.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 31?
The current front-runner is Down at 74%, ahead of Up at 26%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 31?
Traders currently imply a 74% chance for Down. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 31 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Aug 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 31?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 31 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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