IPO · S&P

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

View on Polymarket

$17.5K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Yes is the outsider here at 4%, while No trades at 96%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.

What do traders predict for SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 4% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 1 Jan 2027 (160 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Traders have put $17.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.