sam altman · OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

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$234K Volume

31/12/2027 00:00

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This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.

This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.

This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

At 86%, Anthropic has pulled far clear of OpenAI (15%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.

What do traders predict for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Traders price Anthropic at a 86% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2027 (527 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Traders have put $234K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.