sam altman · OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

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$454.3K Volume

01/01/2028 04:59

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This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.

This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.

This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

The current front-runner is Anthropic at 98%, ahead of OpenAI at 2%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Traders currently imply a 98% chance for Anthropic. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2028 (424 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Total traded volume on this market is $454.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.