thc · Politics

Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

$3.2K Volume
13/03/2027 23:59
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November 13, 2026
$2.8K Volume
26%
March 13, 2027
$387 Volume
75%

On November 12, 2025, the United States enacted a law that includes a provision, referred to herein as Section 781, defining hemp to exclude products containing a tetrahydrocannabinols (“THC”) concentration (including tetrahydrocannabinolic acid) of over 0.3%, or finished consumer products containing over 0.4mg of THC. This law would have the effect of creating federal prohibitions on the sale of such products and is scheduled to go into effect on November 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, a hemp-derived beverage containing 5mg or more of total THC per container qualifies as lawful hemp under federal law (and is therefore not a schedule 1 controlled substance). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying means by which this market may resolve to Yes include, but are not limited to: the repeal of Section 781, the delay of the effective date of Section 781 past the specified date, the enactment of a law that overrides Section 781, or the nationwide enjoinment of Section 781 by a federal court.

State laws or authorizations, federal enforcement discretion (such as non-prosecution policies or guidance), court orders limited to specific parties, products, states, or districts, bills that have not been enacted, and FDA food-additive or premarket status will not alone be sufficient to cause this market to resolve to “Yes.”

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on?
Even the leader is cheap - March 13, 2027 trades at 41%, November 13, 2026 at 26%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on?
No strong consensus yet: March 13, 2027 tops the implied probabilities at just 41%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 13 Mar 2027 (234 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on?
$3.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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