The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Manuela D'Ávila
$1.5K Volume
56%
Marcel Van Hattem
$5.2K Volume
34%
Sanderson
$459 Volume
1%
Tania Peres
$420 Volume
4%
Pimenta
$908 Volume
3%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$330 Volume
1%
Frederico Antunes
$569 Volume
1%
Luciano do MLB
$277 Volume
1%
Milton Cardoso
$266 Volume
1%
Regis Ethur
$256 Volume
1%
Renato Jaguarão
$269 Volume
1%
Ric Jones
$276 Volume
1%
Rigotto
$340 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place?
No runaway leader here - Manuela D'Ávila at 56% versus Candidate A at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place?
At 56% implied for Manuela D'Ávila, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place?
Total turnover stands at $11K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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