This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
The market prices Yes at only 35%, with No at 66%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 35%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the RFK Jr. Out by December 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (152 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
Total turnover stands at $24.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade RFK Jr. Out by December 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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