This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to โOtherโ.
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Senate
US Election
Elections
Midterms
Trump
Yes Probability
50%
No Probability
50%
Trading Volume
$34.7K
Time Remaining
256 days left
Chuck Schumer
$3.8K Volume
36%
John Thune
$883 Volume
24%
Brian Schatz
$1.1K Volume
19%
Cory Booker
$661 Volume
7%
John Barrasso
$371 Volume
4%
Steve Daines
$18K Volume
2%
Lindsey Graham
$8.5K Volume
1%
Patty Murray
$103 Volume
2%
Amy Klobuchar
$428 Volume
1%
Mark Kelly
$646 Volume
1%
Tom Cotton
$209 Volume
1%
Person AV
50%
Person AB
50%
Person AD
50%
John Cornyn
50%
Person F
50%
Person K
50%
Person N
50%
Person V
50%
Person X
50%
Person AF
50%
Person D
50%
Person I
50%
Person L
50%
Person O
50%
Person Q
50%
Person T
50%
Person AM
50%
Person AO
50%
Rick Scott
50%
Person G
50%
Person R
50%
Person W
50%
Person Y
50%
Dick Durbin
50%
Person E
50%
Person H
50%
Person J
50%
Person M
50%
Person P
50%
Person S
50%
Person U
50%
Person AA
50%
Person AC
50%
Person AE
50%
Person AK
50%
Person Z
50%
Person AG
50%
Person AH
50%
Person AI
50%
Person AJ
50%
Person AL
50%
Person AP
50%
Person AN
50%
Person AQ
50%
Person AR
50%
Person AS
50%
Person AT
50%
Person AU
50%
Person AZ
50%
Other
50%
Person AW
50%
Person AY
50%
Person AX
50%