A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
Cavite
· Politics
Philippines, Cavite 4th Congressional District Special Election Winner
Jennifer Austria Barzaga
$3.1K Volume
95%
Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat
$708 Volume
5%
Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr.
$320 Volume
6%
Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag
$292 Volume
1%
Leysander Aguilar Ordenes
$355 Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Philippines, Cavite 4th Congressional District Special Election Winner?
Jennifer Austria Barzaga dominates the field at 94%; the nearest challenger, Person A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Philippines, Cavite 4th Congressional District Special Election Winner?
With 94% implied for Jennifer Austria Barzaga, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Philippines, Cavite 4th Congressional District Special Election Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 29 Aug 2026 (36 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Philippines, Cavite 4th Congressional District Special Election Winner?
Traders have put $4.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Philippines, Cavite 4th Congressional District Special Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Gadi Eizenkot48%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu37%YesNo
Democrats Sweep44%YesNo
R Senate, D House41%YesNo







