General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Politics
Global Elections
World Elections
Elections
Peru
Yes Probability
5%
No Probability
95%
Trading Volume
$40.4M
Time Remaining
46 days left
Keiko Fujimori
$5M Volume
67%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$9.6M Volume
24%
Rafael López Aliaga
$7.8M Volume
5%
Jorge Nieto
$4.6M Volume
1%
Carlos Álvarez
$2.1M Volume
1%
César Acuña
$637.5K Volume
1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$251.2K Volume
1%
Roberto Chiabra
$131.6K Volume
1%
Enrique Valderrama
$243.9K Volume
1%
Mesías Guevara
$322.2K Volume
1%
Mario Vizcarra
$196.9K Volume
1%
José Luna
$368.1K Volume
1%
José Williams
$135K Volume
1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$158.4K Volume
1%
Fernando Olivera
$443.9K Volume
1%
Yonhy Lescano
$434.6K Volume
1%
Alfonso López Chau
$1.5M Volume
1%
George Forsyth
$274.9K Volume
1%
Ricardo Belmont
$3.6M Volume
1%
Carlos Espá
$824.6K Volume
1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$217.6K Volume
1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$788.4K Volume
1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$686.6K Volume
1%
Other
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate O
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The Peru Presidential Election Winner prediction market currently shows a 7.0% probability for the leading candidate, reflecting the competitive landscape ahead of the general elections scheduled for April 12, 2026. With a trading volume of $38.2 million, this market provides valuable insights into voter sentiment and candidate viability, making it a crucial tool for investors and political analysts alike as they navigate the evolving political dynamics in Peru. Understanding these probabilities can help stakeholders make informed decisions as the election date approaches.