Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
<28
$2.2K Volume
32%
28-31
$1.4K Volume
25%
32-35
$1K Volume
34%
36-39
$1.5K Volume
22%
40-43
$829 Volume
6%
44+
$615 Volume
10%
Resolution Source: www.electionsquebec.qc.ca
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?
The current front-runner is 32-35 at 29%, ahead of <28 at 26%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?
Traders currently imply a 29% chance for 32-35. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 5 Oct 2026 (37 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?
Total traded volume on this market is $7.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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