This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
<4
$3.3K Volume
65%
4
$715 Volume
24%
5
$277 Volume
10%
6+
$17.5K Volume
8%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
The current front-runner is <4 at 65%, ahead of 4 at 15%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Traders currently imply a 65% chance for <4. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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