This market will resolve to โYesโ if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI โฅ6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to โNoโ.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Science
Weather
Space
Parlays
hurricane
Yes Probability
29%
No Probability
71%
Trading Volume
$210.4K
Time Remaining
254 days left
Yes
$210.4K Volume
27%