Trump · resign

Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

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$239 Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

Yes is priced at 14% and No at 86%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

Traders currently imply a 14% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

Total traded volume on this market is $239, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.