This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kyle Schwarber
$19.4K Volume
34%
Yordan Alvarez
$8.4K Volume
23%
Junior Caminero
$1.5K Volume
18%
Ben Rice
$1.3K Volume
12%
Matt Olson
$1.9K Volume
30%
Munetaka Murakami
$7.8K Volume
3%
James Wood
$2.1K Volume
8%
Shohei Ohtani
$623 Volume
1%
Juan Soto
$647.5K Volume
1%
Nick Kurtz
$1.3K Volume
1%
Mike Trout
$1.7M Volume
1%
Aaron Judge
$4.7K Volume
1%
Cal Raleigh
$663 Volume
1%
Eugenio Suarez
$569 Volume
1%
Pete Alonso
$368 Volume
1%
Rafael Devers
$590 Volume
1%
George Springer
$508 Volume
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$560 Volume
1%
Manny Machado
$547 Volume
1%
Jordan Walker
$556 Volume
1%
Brandon Lowe
$469.4K Volume
1%
Sal Stewart
$600 Volume
1%
CJ Abrams
$203.2K Volume
1%
Elly De La Cruz
$835 Volume
1%
Shea Langeliers
$1.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MLB: Home Runs Leader?
The field is wide open: Kyle Schwarber tops it at just 34%, with Yordan Alvarez close behind at 23%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for MLB: Home Runs Leader?
Right now the market's best guess is Kyle Schwarber at 34% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the MLB: Home Runs Leader market resolve?
The market runs until 28 Sep 2026 (49 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MLB: Home Runs Leader?
Traders have put $3.1M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade MLB: Home Runs Leader on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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