Bitcoin · Weekly

Bitcoin above ___ on August 11?

$874.9K Volume
11/08/2026 16:00
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54,000
$389 Volume
99%
56,000
$368 Volume
99%
58,000
$1.9K Volume
99%
60,000
$11.9K Volume
99%
62,000
$10K Volume
99%
64,000
$9.3K Volume
83%
66,000
$9K Volume
24%
68,000
$12.2K Volume
2%
70,000
$9.3K Volume
1%
72,000
$638 Volume
1%
74,000
$661 Volume
1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin above ___ on August 11?
54,000 dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 56,000, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin above ___ on August 11?
Traders price 54,000 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Bitcoin above ___ on August 11 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026 (2 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin above ___ on August 11?
Traders have put $874.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bitcoin above ___ on August 11 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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