This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
<$2.50T
50%
$2.50-$3.00T
50%
$3.00-$3.50T
50%
$3.50-$4.00T
50%
$4.00-$4.50T
50%
$4.50-$5.00T
50%
$5.00T+
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
The current front-runner is <$2.50T at 50%, ahead of $2.50-$3.00T at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Traders currently imply a 50% chance for <$2.50T. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How can I trade Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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