MSFT · Equities

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?

$1.3K Volume
31/08/2026 20:00
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$375
99%
$390
99%
$405
99%
$420
99%
$435
$222 Volume
99%
$450
$222 Volume
98%
$465
$140 Volume
95%
$480
$150 Volume
79%
$495
$75 Volume
47%
$510
$55 Volume
19%
$525
12%
$540
$145 Volume
11%
$555
$285 Volume
11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".

Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.

For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.

If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Resolution Source: pythdata.app

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?
The current front-runner is $375 at 95%, ahead of $390 at 95%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?
Traders currently imply a 95% chance for $375. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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