This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Science
· Measles
· Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?
2200
$1.1K Volume
1%
2000
$2.5K Volume
1%
2400
$227 Volume
1%
1950
$2.1K Volume
8%
1900
$3K Volume
72%
Resolved 1
1800
$4.8K Volume
Yes
About This Market
Similar Markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
Yes 18¢No 82¢
September 30
Yes 13¢No 87¢

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?
4
Yes 34¢No 66¢
≤3
Yes 29¢No 71¢

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑2k
Yes 98¢No 2¢
↑3k
Yes 55¢No 45¢

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2
Yes 57¢No 43¢
1
Yes 34¢No 66¢

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?
0
Yes 78¢No 22¢
1
Yes 22¢No 78¢

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.15–1.19ºC
Yes 57¢No 43¢
1.10–1.14ºC
Yes 31¢No 69¢

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
Yes 58¢No 42¢
1.8T–2.0T
Yes 13¢No 87¢

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0
Yes 54¢No 46¢
1
Yes 42¢No 58¢